Varsity Forecast Directory
Sample Data:Participant counts, pool points, and odds are illustrative demo values

Active Classroom Markets

Explore live school event probabilities, compare simulated payouts, and test your predictions using 100% fictional points.

Zero Real-World Value

Fictional points only. No cash, prizes, deposits, or withdrawals.

Classroom
Today at 2:15 PM
Teacher gets sidetracked during period 3 physics lecture?
Market resolves YES if the instructor spends over 10 minutes discussing non-curriculum topics.
YES 68%NO 32%
142 Forecasts
8,500 Virtual Pts
YES: 100 → 147 ptsNO: 100 → 312 pts
Schedule
Today at 3:00 PM
Bell rings before the calculus lesson officially finishes?
Resolves YES if the final bell rings while the board problem is still unfinished.
YES 54%NO 46%
98 Forecasts
5,200 Virtual Pts
YES: 100 → 185 ptsNO: 100 → 217 pts
Academics
Friday at 8:00 AM
Surprise pop quiz assigned this Friday in World History?
Resolves YES if a non-scheduled quiz accounts for weekly points on Friday.
YES 41%NO 59%
210 Forecasts
12,400 Virtual Pts
YES: 100 → 243 ptsNO: 100 → 169 pts

Want to see where you rank on campus?

Track your active forecast history, leaderboards, and accuracy score.

Zero Monetary Value

Educational Point Mechanics & Fair-Play Guidelines

Fictional Points OnlyNo Real-Money Deposits
Market Probability Masterclass

How Classroom Odds & Payouts Work

Understand how fictional point volume dynamically shapes live market odds, calculates outcome ratios, and rewards accurate school forecasts.

Interactive SimulatorLive Volume Rebalancing
Try Shifting the Fictional Market Odds
Sample Market: "Teacher gets sidetracked during history class today?"
YES Odds: 65%(650 pts)
(350 pts)NO Odds: 35%
65%
35%
Predict YES

Add fictional volume to the YES pool to increase implied probability.

Predict NO

Add fictional volume to the NO pool to increase opposing probability.

Potential Payout on 100 Fictional Points

Winning YES pays ~169 pts | Winning NO pays ~314 pts

Total Pool: 1,000 pts
Lifecycle

Step-by-Step Resolution Architecture

Every market moves through four transparent phases to guarantee fair redistribution.

01

Market Creation & Opening

Teachers or Student Admins launch a school-safe event with a defined closing window and initial balanced fictional point pool.

Verified Protocol
02

Dynamic Student Forecasting

Students allocate fictional points into YES or NO pools. Odds recalculate dynamically based on pool volume ratios in real time.

Verified Protocol
03

Window Lockout

When the closing timestamp passes, trading halts. No additional predictions can be made while awaiting the real-world outcome.

Verified Protocol
04

Outcome Resolution & Virtual Payout

Admins verify the verified school result. The entire fictional point pool distributes proportionally to winning forecasters.

Verified Protocol
Reference Table

Sample Multipliers & Payout Ratios

Simulated virtual point returns based on a 100-point prediction stake at various market odds.

Market Odds LevelFictional StakeGross PayoutNet GainRisk Category
10% YES (Longshot)100 pts1,000 pts+900 ptsHigh Risk / High Reward
35% YES (Moderate)100 pts285 pts+185 ptsBalanced
50% YES (Coin Toss)100 pts200 pts+100 ptsStandard Parity
75% YES (Likely)100 pts133 pts+33 ptsLow Risk / Steady
90% YES (Heavy Favorite)100 pts111 pts+11 ptsVery Safe Yield
* Fictional points only. Mathematical model assumes final pool proportions match locked closing odds.Classroom Forecast Pool Engine v2.4
Frequently Asked Questions

Market Rules & Edge Cases

Ready to Test Your School Forecasts?

Browse all active and upcoming harmless school event markets with live odds and zero-risk point pools.